Posted By Staff Reporter
Will you (Kramer) return in 2022? Here is what we think! By: Pershia Yanda-iran. The answer is ‘there is no short or long answer and writing about it will not help you? Before you toot your own horn- like you always do- lets go back to the statistics. In 2012 National Elections you (Bryan Kramer) received are total of 2,498 primary votes and you were eliminated at 7,939 votes. In the 2017 General Elections you received a total of 15629 primary votes, and you won with total of 21248 (including second and third preferences) votes. You only secured 33% of primary votes from Madang’s voting population – not 50% or anything above that to boast of democratic majority mandate. While that is big improvement compared to 2012, 2022 will be a different ball game altogether. You will not have the benefit of being that new vocal candidate that preaches hope. If you get open resentment today - with 33% mandate by mostly emotional manipulated swing voters- consider yourself a goner 2022. Your loss in 2022 will be caused primarily by three factors. One, your mouth. To much promises, to much publicity and little action. I doubt the 33% who voted for you in 2017 will vote again for a maus wara MP who cannot perform his primary mandate. Second, Madang has a highly fragmented electoral environment. Fact is your ratings are lower that they were in 2017 and more candidates will be contesting against you in 2022, further diminishing what support you have left. Third is following. You do not have a solid base vote in Madang which is ok, only if have a very high collective and popular following. 33% of primary votes is a shaky ground for populist politician you like you, especially in PNG’s highly fragmented political environment.
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